Up to now, I've chosen not to bring the election into this blog, however with the outcome to be decided, hopefully, in a few hours, perhaps we can make our predictions based on the following:

The election will be decided by a fair 8-sided die whose faces are numbered from 1 through 8.

The die will be rolled 5 times.

Candidate A wins if the number 7 appears at least once in the 5 rolls.

Candidate B wins otherwise.

You can decide the identity of each candidate! It would be interesting if the popular vote turns out to be this close...

## Tuesday, November 4, 2008

### Why not predict the election with a simple probability problem...

Posted by Dave Marain at 4:19 PM

Labels: elections, probability

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