Up to now, I've chosen not to bring the election into this blog, however with the outcome to be decided, hopefully, in a few hours, perhaps we can make our predictions based on the following:
The election will be decided by a fair 8-sided die whose faces are numbered from 1 through 8.
The die will be rolled 5 times.
Candidate A wins if the number 7 appears at least once in the 5 rolls.
Candidate B wins otherwise.
You can decide the identity of each candidate! It would be interesting if the popular vote turns out to be this close...
Tuesday, November 4, 2008
Why not predict the election with a simple probability problem...
Posted by Dave Marain at 4:19 PM
Labels: elections, probability
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